Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.795928e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-02 3.037454e-05 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000091 0.000109
2025-02-09 2.447838e-05 0.000034 0.000046 0.000060 0.000078 0.000099 0.000125
2025-02-16 2.187362e-05 0.000033 0.000046 0.000064 0.000086 0.000113 0.000147
2025-02-23 1.829057e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000063 0.000089 0.000120 0.000160
2025-03-02 1.468313e-05 0.000025 0.000040 0.000060 0.000088 0.000123 0.000169
2025-03-09 1.215542e-05 0.000022 0.000037 0.000059 0.000089 0.000127 0.000179
2025-03-16 1.015645e-05 0.000020 0.000035 0.000058 0.000090 0.000131 0.000189
2025-03-23 8.677691e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000057 0.000091 0.000137 0.000200
2025-03-30 7.378965e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000056 0.000093 0.000141 0.000211
2025-04-06 6.057361e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000055 0.000092 0.000144 0.000218
2025-04-13 4.706877e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000051 0.000089 0.000143 0.000220
2025-04-20 3.667662e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000089 0.000146 0.000230
2025-04-27 3.199171e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000051 0.000094 0.000156 0.000249
2025-05-04 2.607163e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000051 0.000096 0.000162 0.000263
2025-05-11 2.442850e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000054 0.000103 0.000176 0.000288
2025-05-18 1.971567e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000053 0.000104 0.000182 0.000302
2025-05-25 1.443253e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000051 0.000103 0.000183 0.000308
2025-06-01 1.094797e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000103 0.000186 0.000318
2025-06-08 8.300328e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000048 0.000103 0.000190 0.000328
2025-06-15 6.467541e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000104 0.000195 0.000341
2025-06-22 4.918716e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000047 0.000105 0.000200 0.000354
2025-06-29 3.417741e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000104 0.000202 0.000361